The Federal Reserve has signaled two additional interest rate cuts in 2026, projecting the federal funds rate will reach 3.75-4.0% by year-end as inflation continues its gradual decline toward the 2% target.
Economic Outlook
Fed Chair Jerome Powell described the economy as in a "soft landing" with GDP growth at 2.1%, unemployment at 4.1%, and core inflation at 2.5%. The labor market remains resilient despite higher rates.
Market Reaction
Bond yields fell and stocks rallied on the news. The 10-year Treasury yield dropped to 3.8%, its lowest level in two years.
- Two more rate cuts expected in 2026
- Target rate: 3.75-4.0% by year-end
- Inflation at 2.5%, trending toward 2%
- 10-year yield drops to 3.8%